It’s all about prices: how the exchange commission can fundamentally ruin your loss recovery and what you can do about it. A profit accumulator plan based on 12 days of testing.
At 30 seconds before the start of a race, lay a percentage of the bank (or to a liability which is a percentage of a bank) on the chosen favourite in a Greyhound Win market, with the minimum and maximum price. Recover potential loss in several steps.
At 3 minutes before the start of a horse race, place three Lay Dutching bets on the 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourites. Green them up as soon as possible.
We're showing the way to calculate the total potential profit/loss for multiple bets and selections, and close all positions as soon as a target is reached.
Take advantage of the late rise in the underdog's prices: lay at 10 minutes before the race and green up closer to the off.
This incremental loss recovery plan is designed to cover your betting losses in a less aggressive (compared to plain Martingale) manner.
The main idea I'm playing with is the chance to compensate one selection's losses by the other selection's profits in a highly liquid market.
This example acts symmetrically to the other one called "Trailing Stop-Loss, back then lay"
Late into a football match, for example around 80 minutes and if there is a 1 goal difference (e.g. 1-0 or 2-3), lay the winning team for a low liability. Then green-up a possible equalising goal.
This example demonstrates how to connect Match Odds and Half Time Score football markets on BetFair. It lays on the 0-0 score in Half Time Score if certain conditions are met (easy to adjust). Besides, it utilises a simple staking plan for loss recoupment.
It combines several aspects. It is a trading trigger that concentrates on the favourite. It is based on Welles Wilder's Relative Strength Index (RSI) which he developed for the stock market a long time ago but it can be used in high volume betting markets.
At 15 mins before the off remember all the horses that were priced below 10.0, provided that the fourth favourite's price was less than 10.0.
The idea is to lay a horse with initially low chances to win as soon as it pulls ahead after the race started (this also applies to any other type of sport where markets turn In-Play).
Place back bets on selected runners to win or lose a fixed amount, but at their lay prices.
Lay on selected runners to an equal profit. If the bets end up with a loss, recoup this loss in the next markets.
This example is an extension of the standard Auto-Dutching tool of MarketFeeder Pro. While this tool solves the majority of tasks related to Dutching, you may want to further tune it up, so a trigger will be a better solution.
Lay-Dutch on all selections except the three favourites, in a race with 10 or more runners, if they make a lay book of 40% or less. Lay to the maximum loss of £20.
Lay on two selections whose prices fell below 2.0, to win a fixed amount of money if any of them wins.
Lay on the third and fourth favourites in the races with 9 or more runners, if the price of the fourth favourite is no higher than 9.0. Place the bets at 5 mins before the off.
Here's the simplest staking plan which can be used as a base for many other plans.
The idea behind the Maria staking plan is very simple: you bet different amounts depending on the size of your bank and on the price of the selection. Your stakes are adjusted if you make profits or get exposed to losses. The flexibility of this plan makes it so efficient.
The idea for this staking plan is to increase your lay stake or liability every time your bank balance increases.
If your staking plan sequence does not fit into any known formula or the formula can't be expressed with the program's tools, this example is just for you!
This staking plan is based on so called Kelly Criterion - a method of calculating your stake size based on the size of the bank, the current odds and certain expectations that you have for winning or losing the bet.
This staking plan is a variation of the "Backing Multi-Link Doubles"
Contrary to the common practice of increasing a stake after a loss, this staking plan does this after a win. This way you accumulate profit faster if winning streaks happen more often than losing ones.
This is the exact opposite of the Fibonacci Back Staking Plan, but for lay stakes.
This is a classic Martingale staking plan applied to "Over/Under" markets in football. Lay against Over x.5 goals and recover your losses as the score increases.
Lay on a chosen selection and recoup the loss according to a scheme.
The following triggers will work only in a specific type of market: "Total Goals" in Soccer matches. Its staking principle (handicap with any number of winners) makes it possible to recoup the loss from the bet placed on the first outcome in a bet placed on the next outcome.
Lay on a selection according to the D'Alembert plan
In brief, the "1-4" staking plan is about increasing your stake by 1 unit after each loss to a maximum stake of 4 units, until you recoup the cumulative loss completely.
Lay on a selection to a fixed liability, that is to lay so that a given amount is lost if the bet loses, regardless of the price.
Wait till the favourite (or second, third etc. favourite) wins X races in a row, then lay on the next favourite with a simple loss recoupment plan, until you win or reach a maximum loss.
This example is about the Labouchere system.
This trigger example has been kindly provided by one of MF Pro users and participants of the first Trigger Battle, Brad Jones.
This staking plan differs from others, because it does not recoup the cumulative loss from the previous market. Instead it recoups the loss from a single losing bet, even if other bets in that market won.
This Lay HiPro86 SP4 staking plan is a form of a loss recovery staking plan but cuts its losses before the stakes are excessive.
Lay on a selection to a fixed liability (so that a fixed amount is lost in case the bet loses, regardless of the price).
The idea of a user who suggested this example is quite specific. He wants to bet in the market where the favourite changed 3 or more times over the given time.
Bet (either back or lay) on the three selections with the highest volume percentages (highest market share).
Here is one of the implementations of football arbitrages whereby you lay in one market and back in another, hoping to secure profit in a number of possible outcomes.
Lay all selections in a market (e.g. all horses in a race) at 1.01 to keep the bets In-Play. Once at least one of them is matched, cancell all the other.
You start by setting which trap you lay on after a certain trap number won the previous race. For instance, if Trap 1 wins, you lay on Trap 2 in the next game. If Trap 2 wins, you lay on Trap 3 and so on. The sequence does not really matter, you can do Trap 4 after Trap 1, or Trap 6 after Trap 3. The triggers below will do for any set of numbers.
Simple trigger to lay or back on a specified trap number. Set the trap number in the constant.
Lay 5 EUR on the favourite in place markets, if its price is below 2.0. If the bet lost recoup the losses in the next market until the win, then revert to 5 EUR.
Lay on the favourite if it is priced between 2.0 and 4.0, it's been at least 30 sec since the beginning of the race, and the second favourite's odds are no more than 6 ticks away from the favourite. Bet only if there are at least 10 runners in the race.
Lay £2 on the favourite and second favourite in a place market, if the sum of their odds does not exceed 3.8. Place the bets at 1 minute before the off, provided there are 10 or more runners.
Back and lay on the same horse: lay to a fixed liability on the favourite in the win market if the odds are between 2 and 5.0. Back a fixed amount on the same horse in the place market providing the odds are 1.5 or higher.
Lay the default lay amount on any selection whose price grew by at least 10% over the last 10 min, and is now less than 5.0. Don't lay on the favourite.
When the market turns in-play lay on all selections whose price jumped from less than 3 to higher than 6 within one refresh (potential losers).
What he was looking for is: lay on any selection whose price has doubled as compared to the price it had at the beginning of the race (SP, starting price); only lay in handicap markets, no sooner than 30 sec after the off.
Lay 5 EUR at the current lay price plus 5 ticks on the selection in-play if it meets the following conditions: its lay price first dropped to 1.9 or below, and eventually grew up to 3.0 or higher. Recoup the losses if the bet loses till it wins.
Lay on the horse whose official rating is at least 20% lower than the top two ratings.
Bet in markets without a clear favourite (the favourite's price before the off should be >= 2.0). When the market turns in-play, lay on the second favourite, if it is priced between 1.7 and 2.5.
At a certain time before the beginning of an event lay on pre-defined selections at the best price if their current odds are within the specified limit. This trigger is the right choice if you know the exact names of the selections you are going to bet on, e.g. if you are using a tipster service.
Lay on "The Draw" in In-Play Match Odds football markets before the game has started. After the market turns In-Play, green up The Draw, or distribute the loss equally if the draw's odds fall below your set price, or if certain time has passed since the start of the game.
This is an example opposite to "Repetitive Backing and Greening Up".
Lay on the highest priced selection whose odds are less than 10.0, and that grew in price by more than 10% over the last 5 mins. Green it up eventually if its price grew by more than 2 ticks, or distribute the loss equally if it fell down by more that 4 ticks as compared to the price it was laid at.
When In-Play, lay on a selections whose price falls to (or below) 1.1. Green up if it jumps up to 1.25 or higher.
This example is the opposite of "Continuous backing and greening up". It places lay bets on chosen selections and waits for the opportunity to green up, if the prices keep moving up. If, however, they start falling down, the stop-loss bet is placed to minimise the loss.
Try to green up on a selection with whichever type of bet gets matched first (back or lay), regardless of where the market goes. Insure your bets against the wrong market direction.